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|
Model
|
M parameters
|
ln(mL)
|
LBF
|
Probability
|
|---|
|
1
|
Full model—all
|
− 4443.47
| |
6.824E−87
|
|
2
|
Sp → Sg
Sp ← Sg
Sr → Sg
Sr ← Sg
|
− 4394.11
|
98.72
|
1.866E−65
|
|
3a
|
Sr → Sg
|
− 4339.68
|
108.86
|
8.119E−42
|
|
4a
|
Sp → Sg
|
− 4250.54
|
178.28
|
0.004
|
|
5
|
Sp → Sg
Sr → Sg
|
− 4247.52
|
6.04
|
0.086
|
|
6a
|
Sp → Sg
Sp ← Sg
|
− 4245.16
|
4.72
|
0.909
|
- Arrows specify the direction of introgression. Ln(mL) are the log marginal-likelihoods estimated using the Bezier approximation. Log Bayes factors (LBF) are calculated by comparing Model x with the Model x − 1
- Sp—S. perrico, Sr—S. rubroviolaceus, Sg—S. ghobban
- a Models 3, 4, and 6 include a constant low migration parameter (M = 0.001) to meet the assumptions of connectivity among all populations. Italic text indicates the best fitting model = Model 6